Chile in its constitutional labyrinth

A few weeks after the historic Chilean plebiscite, what explains the categorical difference between the results of the 2020 and 2022 plebiscites? While in the incoming plebiscite of 2020 78% of the voters were in favor of starting the process to replace the current Constitution, in the outgoing plebiscite around 62% of the voters rejected the proposal for a new Constitution elaborated during the last year by the Constitutional Convention. With mandatory voting, the "rejection" option won in all the regions of the country and at the local level, the "I approve" option won -by a small margin- only in eight of the 345 communes of the national territory. In turn, in terms of demographics, rejection won among men and women and in all age groups.
How can such differences be explained? The causes have to do to a large extent with the configuration of the Constitutional Convention and the text that emanated from it. The Convention quickly lost its original legitimacy and the resulting text became controversial. In fact, the reasons for winning seats in the Convention are similar (or even identical) to the reasons why the approval lost the exit plebiscite.
 
Publicada el 23 de septiembre de 2022.
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